for your radar

comments on strategic planning in the US

Interesting article by Steven Metz (director of research at the U.S. Army War College Strategic Studies Institute).  Quote .. Other U.S. government agencies follow suit and also avoid thinking about strategic catastrophe. They plan for how they might respond to political crises and humanitarian disasters, but like the military, they devote little or no time to developing an interagency response to a major battlefield defeat or the collapse of a key partner. There is an even greater vacuum at the level of grand strategy. No part of the government plans for how American society could be steeled and mobilized after a catastrophe.”

http://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/13912/u-s-planners-must-start-preparing-for-strategic-disaster  

Article focuses on military issues in Iraq.  However, the sentiments are equally applicable to interagency emergency preparedness planning and business planning.  Article requires subsription

rainfall intensity and average temperature increase

As individuals, businesses and communities plan and prepare for increases in climatic extremes, readers may find a recent paper in Nature Geoscience interesting    http://www.seas.harvard.edu/climate/seminars/pdfs/Berg_NatureGeoscience_2013.pdf    The paper provides more information on early work by Lenderink (see refs) on observations that, as temperature rises, rainfall intensity within certain storm types can exceed theoretical expectations.  Underlying mechanisms are considered in Lenderink (2008).

For those involved in the planning and co-ordination of emergency preparedness, response and recovery – this adds a sense of urgency to the process.  It reinforces the observed science that, as average atmospheric temperature continues to increase, rainfall extremes will occur at an intensity which is beyond our prior experience.  This has important implications for our mindset – both individually and corporately.